Signals
A Signal Is a Clue, Not a Verdict
Learn to separate an observable signal from its interpretation with a three-part note, so you can make careful…
The article collection
All articles
Browse clear explanations of signals, scenarios, choices and the ways people can think about a changing world without mistaking possibility for certainty.
Scenarios
Three Ways to Map an Uncertain Question
Three-way scenario mapping helps you spot hidden assumptions, identify workable boundaries, and choose a flexible…
Time
Before Forecasts, People Imagined Possible Worlds
Before forecasts, people imagined possible worlds to question social rules and explore alternatives; see how that…
Choices
The Straight-Line Future Trap
The straight-line future trap turns a visible trend into a forecast. Learn to spot turning points, interacting…
Adaptation
A One-Hour Future Review for Your Personal Plans
A one-hour future review helps you spot what your personal plan needs next, set a clear checkpoint, and keep a useful…